Guy Den Ouden vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When analyzing second serve performance over the last six months, Bailly has been slightly weaker, securing 41.48% of points, compared to Ouden's 42.18%.
• In return games, Ouden shows superior performance, capturing 47.02% of opponent's second serve points, while Bailly manages 45.06%.
• Both players demonstrate proficiency in saving breakpoints; however, Ouden leads slightly with a 49.4% save rate against Bailly's 47.73%.
• Last year's match victories reveal Bailly winning 72.15% and Ouden 68.83% of their matches, reflecting Bailly's marginally better winning form.
• Bailly excels on hard surfaces with a 69% win rate, contrasting with Ouden's top performance on clay, boasting a 71% win rate.
• In terms of playing level, Bailly has mostly played at Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, whereas Ouden competes at higher Challenger/ITF > $10K levels.
• Bailly and Ouden's head-to-head record stands at 0-1, with Ouden winning their previous encounter on clay, 6-4, 6-2.
• How competitive are their matches? On average, their matches last around 1:38:00, suggesting relatively competitive play.
• No tiebreaks have been played between them, nor have they played any deciding sets, indicating a resolution in straight sets.
• Regarding opponent quality, Ouden has faced higher-ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 313.27 compared to Bailly's 388.04.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Bailly could hold an advantage, winning 65% of deciding sets, as opposed to Ouden's 52%.
• In recent form, Bailly has been more effective at converting breakpoints with a 39.48% conversion rate, bettering Ouden's 37.55%.

Editorial Prediction (August 31, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Bailly and Ouden is anticipated to be closely contested. While Bailly demonstrates a slightly more favorable win rate over the past year, Ouden's performance against higher-ranked opponents could be a factor going into this match.

In head-to-head matchups, Ouden has the edge with a previous victory over Bailly on clay. Nevertheless, Bailly has demonstrated better performance in hard court settings, which may be to their advantage if the match surface aligns favorably.

Considering Bailly's slight edge in breakpoint conversion and deciding set performance, they could hold a strategic advantage in crucial moments of the match. Yet, Ouden's record against stronger opponents, coupled with their winning past encounter, makes this a challenging prediction.

Given the data and previous encounters, Ouden appears to be the more likely winner for this upcoming match, albeit by a narrow margin.